United States presidential election, 2008.html

 
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2004 Flag of the United States 2012
United States presidential election, 2008
November 4, 2008
Nominee Barack Obama John McCain
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Arizona
Running mate Joe Biden Sarah Palin
United States presidential election, 2008

Electoral college votes per state for 2008. The winning candidate needs a majority of electoral votes: at least 270 out of a total of 538.

The United States presidential election of 2008, scheduled for Tuesday November 4, 2008, will be the 56th consecutive quadrennial United States presidential election and will select the President and the Vice President of the United States.

The Republican Party has chosen John McCain, the senior United States Senator from Arizona as its nominee; the Democratic Party has chosen Barack Obama, the junior United States Senator from Illinois, as its nominee. The 2008 election is particularly notable because it is the first time in U.S. history that two sitting senators will run against each other for president, and because it is the first time an African American is a presidential nominee for a major party, as well as the first time both major candidates were born outside the continental United States—Hawaii for Obama and the Panama Canal Zone for McCain. With African American candidate Barack Obama, who is of mixed African and Caucasian parentage, as the Democratic Party nominee for President and John McCain's selection of female Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as the Republican Party nominee for Vice-President, the eventual winning ticket is very likely to have a historic context, as either the first African American will be elected President along with the first Roman Catholic, Joe Biden, as Vice President or the oldest President will be elected with the first woman Vice President.

The Libertarian Party has nominated former Congressman Bob Barr, the Constitution Party has nominated pastor and radio talk show host Chuck Baldwin, and the Green Party has nominated former Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney. Ralph Nader declined to seek the Green Party nomination and is running as an independent candidate.

The election will coincide with the 2008 Senate elections in thirty-three states, House of Representatives elections in all states, and gubernatorial elections in eleven states, as well as various state referendums and local elections. As in the 2004 presidential election, the allocation of electoral votes to each state will be based partly on the 2000 Census. The president-elect and vice president-elect are scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2009.

Characteristics

No incumbents

The 2008 election marks the first time since the 1928 election in which neither an incumbent President nor an incumbent Vice President ran for their party's nomination in the presidential election, and the first time since the 1952 election that neither the incumbent President nor incumbent Vice President is a candidate in the general election.[1] The incumbent President, George W. Bush, is serving his second and final term and is barred from running again by the term limits in the Twenty-second Amendment to the United States Constitution. Vice President Dick Cheney has chosen not to seek the presidency. From 2001, Cheney frequently stated he would never run for President: "I will say just as hard as I possibly know how to say... If nominated, I will not run; if elected, I will not serve."[2]

In the three previous two-term Presidential administrations—those of Dwight D. Eisenhower, Ronald Reagan, and Bill Clinton—the incumbent vice president has immediately thereafter run for president. Richard Nixon lost the 1960 election, George H. W. Bush won the 1988 election, and Al Gore lost the 2000 election.[3][4] The 2008 election is the first in which the Vice President is not a candidate for either the presidency or the vice presidency since Nelson Rockefeller in 1976.

Follows consecutive two-term administrations

Provided that President Bush finishes his second term, the new president elected in 2008 will be the first president in 184 years to take office after multiple consecutive two-term presidential administrations. Bush's predecessor, Democrat Bill Clinton also served two full terms. The last instance of consecutive two-term administrations was the Democratic-Republican succession triad of Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, and James Monroe from 1801 to 1825; thus, Clinton and Bush will mark the first time in history that presidents of opposing parties have consecutively served two full terms. Thus, the new president must contend with strong legacies on both sides of the aisle.

Leading candidates are senators

The nominees for the major party nominations are both serving United States Senators: Republican candidate John McCain (Arizona) and Democratic candidate Barack Obama (Illinois). It is the first time in history that the two main opponents in the general election are both sitting Senators.[5] Therefore, it appears virtually certain that the 2008 election will mark the first time since the election of John F. Kennedy in 1960 that a sitting Senator will be elected President of the United States, and only the third time ever in American history, after John F. Kennedy and Warren G. Harding. Obama's running mate, Joe Biden (Delaware), is also a sitting Senator. If Obama is elected president, Biden, having been a Senator since January 1973 and having served for the past 36 years, would become the longest serving Senator in history to become a first term Vice President. For his part, McCain would, if elected, become the first prisoner of war since Andrew Jackson to become President as well as the first to become President while winning at least 4 Senate terms. Senator John Kerry was the Democratic nominee in 2004 during his fourth Senate term. He narrowly lost both the popular vote and the Electoral College to President George W. Bush.

Leading candidates' origins and age

Either candidate would become the first president born outside the Continental United States, as Obama was born in Honolulu, Hawaii and McCain was born at Coco Solo, Panama Canal Zone, a US naval base. A bipartisan legal review agreed that McCain is a natural-born citizen of the United States, a constitutional requirement to become president.[6] Obama, having a white mother and Kenyan father of the Luo ethnic group[7] would be the first president to be black and to be biracial. McCain would be the first president from Arizona, while Obama would be the third president elected from Illinois, the first two being Abraham Lincoln and Ulysses S. Grant. The last candidates to run from these states were Adlai Stevenson (D) of Illinois, who ran and lost in 1952 and 1956, and Barry Goldwater (R) of Arizona, who ran and lost in 1964. While being elected from Illinois, Obama would become the first president from Hawaii, his home state by birth.

Also, if inaugurated on January 20, 2009, McCain would be the oldest U.S. president upon ascension to the presidency at age 72 years and 144 days,[8] and the second-oldest president to be inaugurated (Ronald Reagan was 73 years and 350 days old at his second inauguration).[9] Barack Obama and John McCain are 24 years and 340 days apart in age. This is the largest age disparity between the two major party presidential candidates, surpassing Bill Clinton and Bob Dole (23 years and 28 days apart in age) who ran against each other in 1996.

This is also the first Presidential election since 1976, and only the fourth since the American Civil War, in which none of the four nominees for President and Vice-President from the two major parties have ties of birth or political office to any of the three most populous states in the Union (New York, Texas, or California).citation needed Obama was born in Hawaii and represents Illinois (the fourth most-populous), McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone and represents Arizona, Biden was born in Pennsylvania and represents Delaware, while Palin was born in Idaho and governs Alaska.

Candidates switching parties

Former ambassador Alan Keyes, former Congressman Bob Barr, and businessman Wayne Allyn Root left the Republican Party to join or seek the nomination of a third party. Keyes was defeated at the Constitution Party National Convention in a bid for the party's presidential nomination and is currently running as the nominee of the newly formed America's Independent Party. Bob Barr became the Libertarian Party nominee, and Root became Barr's running mate.

Former Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney and former Senator Mike Gravel left the Democratic Party to join or seek the nomination of a third party. McKinney won the nomination of the Green Party, and Gravel lost his bid for the Libertarian nomination after being eliminated in the fourth round of voting.

Election controversies

The issues of caging lists and other techniques of voter suppression which gave rise to many 2004 United States election voting controversies have not been addressed by further legislation or a regulatory crackdown, and are predicted by Greg Palast (a reporter who has investigated these controversies) to recur to the extent that they could swing the result.citation needed

Voter list purges using unlawful criteria threaten election integrity in at least six swing states: Colorado, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Nevada and North Carolina.[10]

On October 5, 2008 the Republican Lt. Governor of Montana, John Bohlinger, accused the Montana Republican Party of vote caging to purge 6,000 voters from three counties which trend Democratic. These purges included decorated war veterans and active duty soldiers.[11]

An allegation that the Republican Party in Michigan plans to challenge the eligibility of voters based on lists of foreclosed homes[12] has led to a lawsuit from the Obama campaign[13] and a letter from the House Judiciary Committee to the Department of Justice calling for an investigation.[14]

Libertarian candidate Bob Barr filed a lawsuit in Texas petitioning to have Obama and McCain removed from the ballot in that state.[15] The suit alleged that both the Republicans and Democrats missed the deadline to file, and were present on the ballot contrary to Texas election law. The Texas Supreme Court dismissed the lawsuit without giving an explanation.[16]

Campaign

See also: United States presidential election, 2008 timeline

Pre-primary campaign

"Front runner" status is dependent on the news agency reporting, but by October 2007, the consensus listed about six candidates as leading the pack. For example, CNN listed Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Rudolph Giuliani, Barack Obama, Fred Thompson, and Mitt Romney as the front runners. The Washington Post listed Clinton, Edwards and Obama as the Democratic frontrunners, "leading in polls and fundraising and well ahead of the other major candidates".[17] MSNBC's Chuck Todd christened Giuliani and John McCain the Republican front runners after the second Republican presidential debate.[18]

Three candidates, Clinton, Obama, and Romney, raised over $20 million in the first three months of 2007, and three others, Edwards, Giuliani, and McCain, raised over $12 million; the next closest candidate was Bill Richardson, who raised over $6 million.[19] In the third quarter of 2007, the top four GOP fund raisers were Romney, Giuliani, Thompson, and Ron Paul.[20] Paul set the GOP record for the largest online single day fund raising on November 5, 2007.[21] Hillary Clinton set the Democratic record for largest single day fund raising on June 30, 2007.[22]

Primaries and caucuses

Although the nomination process for each of the two major political parties technically continues through June, in previous cycles the candidates were effectively chosen by the March primaries. This trend continued in 2008 on the Republican side, with John McCain locking up the nomination with victories in Texas and Ohio on March 4, but Democrat Barack Obama did not win the nomination until June 3, after a long campaign against Hilary Clinton. Obama had a wide lead in states won, but Democratic state delegate contests have been decided by a form of proportional representation since 1976.[23] Clinton claimed a lead in the popular vote, but the Associated Press found her numbers accurate only in one very close scenario.[24]

During late 2007, both parties adopted rules against states moving their primaries to an earlier date in the year. For the Republicans, the penalty for this violation is supposed to be the loss of half the state party's delegates to the convention. The Democratic Party only allowed four states to hold elections before February 5, 2008. Initially the Democratic Party leadership said it would strip all Democratic delegates from Florida and Michigan, which had moved their primaries all the way into January. All major candidates agreed officially not to campaign in Florida or Michigan, and Edwards and Obama had their names removed from the Michigan ballot. Clinton won a majority of delegates from both states (though 40% voted uncommitted) and subsequently led a fight to fully seat the Florida and Michigan delegates.[25]

Political columnist Christopher Weber notes that while this was self-serving, it was also pragmatic on the part of Clinton should Florida or Michigan voters not vote for Democrats in the general election based on the Democratic Party's decision regarding the seating of delegates.[26] This led to speculation that the fight over the delegates could last until the convention in August. However, on May 31, 2008, a deal was reached by the Rules and Bylaws Committee of the Democratic Party that allows for delegates from Michigan and Florida to receive half a vote each.[27]

January 2008

Around the start of the year, support for Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama began rising in the polls, passing longtime front runners Romney and Clinton for first place in Iowa: the two upstart campaigns were triumphant. Suddenly John McCain displaced Rudy Giuliani and Romney as the front-runner in New Hampshire.

While Huckabee had little money and was hoping for a third place finish, Obama was the new front runner in New Hampshire and the Clinton campaign was struggling. However, in a turning point for her campaign, Clinton's voice wavered with emotion in a public interview broadcast live on TV.[28] By the end of that day, Clinton won the primary by 2 points, contrary to the predictions of pollsters who had her as much as twelve points behind on the day of the primary itself. McCain also staged a turnaround victory, having been written off by the pundits and in single digits less than a month before.[29]

With the Republicans stripping Michigan and Florida of half their delegates, the Republican race was based there, while the Democrats focused on Nevada and South Carolina, which were given special permission to have early contests; in South Carolina Obama got 55% of the vote. Meanwhile, McCain managed a small victory in South Carolina, setting him up for a larger and more important victory in Florida soon after.

February 2008

On February 3 on the UCLA campus, celebrities Oprah Winfrey, Caroline Kennedy and Stevie Wonder, among others, made appearances to show support for Barack Obama in a rally led by Michelle Obama.[30] Obama trailed in the California polling by an average of 6.0%; he ended up losing the state by 8.3%.[31] Some analysts cited a large Latino turnout as the deciding factor.[32] On the Republican side, John McCain was endorsed by Governor of California Arnold Schwarzenegger and Rudy Giuliani (who had dropped out of the race following the Florida primary), giving McCain a significant boost in California state.[33] Schwarzenegger's wife, Maria Shriver, endorsed Obama.[34] By February 4, it was apparent that McCain might be able to wrap up the nomination quickly, while the Democratic candidates were hoping for a swing of momentum following the February 5 primaries.

Super Tuesday: On February 5, 2008, the largest-ever simultaneous number of state United States presidential primary elections was held.[35] Twenty-four states and American Samoa held either caucuses or primary elections for one or both parties on this date, leaving the Democrats in a virtual tie, and John McCain just short of clinching the Republican nod.[36] A few days later, Mitt Romney suspended his presidential campaign and endorsed McCain, leaving Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul as the only major challengers of McCain in the remaining Republican primaries.[37]

Louisiana and Washington voted for both parties on February 9, while Nebraska and the U.S. Virgin Islands voted for the Democrats and Kansas voted for the Republicans. Obama swept all four Democratic contests, as well as the Maine caucuses the next day,[38] and Huckabee also came out on top in Kansas, winning by an even greater percentage. The District of Columbia, Maryland and Virginia voted for both parties on February 12 in what was referred to as Potomac primary. Obama won all three for the Democrats (giving him eight consecutive victories after Super Tuesday) and McCain took all three for the Republicans.

Obama carried both Hawaii and Wisconsin, the last two states that voted for the Democrats in February, on the 19th.[39] Wisconsin and Washington voted for the Republicans on February 19; John McCain won these states.[39] The Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico closed February for the Republicans, on the 23rd and 24th.

March 2008

For the Republicans, on March 1 American Samoa voted. March 4 was dubbed by some as this year's Mini Tuesday,[40] when the delegate-rich states of Texas and Ohio, along with Rhode Island and Vermont, voted for both parties. Wyoming then voted for the Democrats and Guam voted for the Republicans on March 8. Mississippi voted for both parties on March 11.

On March 4, Hillary Clinton carried Ohio and Rhode Island in the Democratic primaries; some considered this a surprise upset,[41] though she led in the polling averages in both states.[31][42] She also carried the primary in Texas, but Obama won the Texas caucuses held the same day and netted more delegates from the state than Clinton.[43] John McCain clinched the Republican nomination after sweeping all four primaries, Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island, putting him over the top of the 1,191 delegates required to win the GOP nomination.[42] Mike Huckabee conceded the race to McCain, leaving Ron Paul, who had just 16 delegates, as his only remaining opponent for the Republican nomination.[44] In the Wyoming Democratic caucuses, Obama edged out Clinton to gain 7 delegates to her 5, and three days later he beat her again, 59%–39%, in Mississippi.

April through June 2008

Only one state voted in April: Pennsylvania, which held a primary for both parties on April 22. Hillary Clinton won this Democratic primary, with approximately 55% of the vote. Barack Obama won the Guam caucuses on May 3 by 7 votes out of more than 4,500. On May 6, Hillary Clinton won the Indiana primary with 51% of the vote while Barack Obama won in North Carolina with 56% of the vote. Nebraska's Republican and West Virginia's Democratic primaries were held on May 13. In West Virginia, Clinton won with 67% of the vote and 20 of 28 pledged delegates. On May 20, Kentucky and Oregon held primaries for both parties. In Kentucky, Clinton won with 65% of the vote to Obama's 31%. In Oregon, Obama defeated Clinton, by a margin of 18%. Idaho voted for Republicans only on May 27. On May 31, Democratic Party officials, after a tense meeting between Clinton supporters and Obama backers, voted to seat all of Florida and Michigan's delegates at the party's convention, with each getting a half-vote.[45] Puerto Rico held a Democratic primary on June 1, which Clinton won with 68% of the vote to Obama's 32%. The primary season ended on June 3, with contests in New Mexico (Republican), Montana (Democratic), and South Dakota (both parties). Clinton won South Dakota's primary, while Obama was victorious in the Montana primary. As expected, John McCain won all the states during this time period handily, though typically 20-25% of the vote in the Republican primaries went to Huckabee and Paul, despite the fact both had already been mathematically eliminated from contention for the nomination.

Party conventions

Presidential and vice-presidential debates

Four debates have been announced by the Commission on Presidential Debates[46]

A Zogby International poll released on August 15, 2008, indicated that most Republicans and Democrats want Libertarian candidate Bob Barr to be included in the presidential debates. Nearly 70% of independent voters would like to see Barr included. The same poll indicated that nearly half of likely voters, and a majority (59%) of independent voters would like to see independent candidate Ralph Nader included in the debates as well. However, this Zogby Interactive poll was conducted online and therefore not a representative sample of registered voters. Other Zogby Interactive polls overstate the Libertarian candidate's support and are generally extremely inaccurate when compared to telephone based polls that are a more representative sample of the electorate. [48]

Campaign costs

The reported cost of campaigning for President has increased significantly in recent years. One source reported that if the costs for both Democratic and Republican campaigns are added together (for the Presidential primary election, general election, and the political conventions) the costs have more than doubled in only eight years ($448.9 million in 1996, $649.5 million in 2000, and $1.01 billion in 2004).[49] In January 2007, Federal Election Commission Chairman Michael E. Toner estimated the 2008 race will be a $1 billion election, and that to be taken seriously, a candidate needed to raise at least $100 million by the end of 2007.[50]

Although he had said he would not be running for president, published reports indicated that billionaire and New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg had been considering a presidential bid as an independent with up to $1 billion of his own fortune to finance it.[51] Bloomberg ultimately ended this speculation by unequivocally stating that he would not run.[52] Had Bloomberg decided to run, he would not have needed to campaign in the primary elections or participate in the conventions, greatly reducing both the necessary length and cost of his campaign.

With the increase in money, the public financing system funded by the presidential election campaign fund checkoff has not been used by many candidates. John McCain,[53] Tom Tancredo,[54] John Edwards,[55] Chris Dodd,[56] and Joe Biden[57] qualified for and elected to take public funds in the primary. Other major candidates eschewed the low amount of spending permitted, or gave other reasons as in the case of Barack Obama, and have chosen not to participate.

Internet campaigns

Howard Dean collected large contributions via the internet in his 2004 primary run. In 2008 candidates have gone even further in reaching out to Internet users through their own sites and through sites such as YouTube, MySpace and Facebook.[58][59] Republican Ron Paul[60] and Democratic Party candidate Barack Obama have been the most active in courting voters through the Internet.[61] On December 16, 2007, Ron Paul collected more money on a single day through Internet donations than any presidential candidate in US history with over $6 million.[62] Anonymous and semi-anonymous smear campaigns traditionally done with fliers and push calling have also spread to the Internet.[63]

Criticism of media coverage

Significant criticism has been leveled at media outlets' coverage of the presidential election season. Erica Jong commented that "our press has become a sea of triviality, meanness and irrelevant chatter".[64] ABC News hosted a debate in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on April 16 and moderators Charles Gibson and George Stephanopoulos were criticized by viewers, bloggers and media critics for the poor quality of their questions.[65][66]

Some of the questions that many viewers said they considered irrelevant when measured against the faltering economy or the Iraq war, such as why Senator Barack Obama did not wear an American flag pin on his lapel, the incendiary comments of Obama’s former pastor, or Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s assertion that she had to duck sniper fire in Bosnia more than a decade ago.[65] The questions from the moderators were considered to be focused on campaign gaffes and trained mostly on Obama,[66] which Stephanopoulos defended by saying that "Senator Obama was the front-runner" and the questions were "not inappropriate or irrelevant at all".[65][66]

A similar event occurred earlier at a debate in February where Tim Russert of NBC News for what was perceived as his disproportionately tough questioning of Clinton.[65] Among the questions Russert had asked Clinton, but not Obama, was to provide the name of the new Russian leader (Dmitry Medvedev),[65] an event which was subsequently parodied on Saturday Night Live. In October 2007, liberal commentators accused Russert of harassing Clinton over driver's licenses for illegal immigrants and other issues.[66]

In an op-ed published on April 27, 2008 in The New York Times, Elizabeth Edwards bemoaned that the media covered much more of "the rancor of the campaign" and "amount of money spent" than "the candidates' priorities, policies and principles". She went on to compare much of the media coverage to a soap opera and stated that, as result, "voters who take their responsibility to be informed seriously enough to search out information about the candidates are finding it harder and harder to do so, particularly if they do not have access to the Internet". Edwards continued, "an informed electorate is essential to freedom itself. But as long as corporations to which news gathering is not the primary source of income or expertise get to decide what information about the candidates 'sells,' we are not functioning as well as we could if we had the engaged, skeptical press we deserve". Edwards stated that what was worse is that trends hold out dim hope that the quality of media coverage will improve, stating that "media consolidation is leading to one-size-fits-all journalism." Worst of all, she said, poor media coverage "gives us permission to ignore issues and concentrate on things that don’t matter".[67]

The Project for Excellence in Journalism and Harvard University's Joan Shorenstein Center on the Press, Politics and Public Policy conducted a study of 5,374 media narratives and assertions about the presidential candidates from January 1, 2008 through March 9, 2008. The study found that Obama and Clinton received 69 and 67% favorable coverage, respectively, compared to only 43% favorable media coverage of McCain.[68]

Election day through to Inauguration

  • November 4, 2008: Election Day in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Voters cast votes for listed presidential candidates but are actually selecting their state's slate of Electoral College members. Although Guam has no votes in the Electoral College, they have held a straw poll for their presidential preferences since 1980. In 2008, their ballot will include Barr, McCain, and Obama. Initially, their legislature passed a law moving that poll forward to gain notoriety for Guam's election;[69] the legislation was vetoed and the poll will take place contemporaneously with the proper election.[70]
  • December 15, 2008: Members of the U.S. Electoral College meet in each state to cast their votes for President and Vice President.
  • January 6, 2009: Electoral votes officially tallied before both Houses of Congress. Members of Congress may object to the certification of a state's electoral votes at this time.
  • January 20, 2009: Inauguration Day.

Candidates

Republican Party

Nominees for the Republican Party:

McCain was nominated by roll call at the 2008 Republican National Convention.

  • On August 29, Alaska’s youngest as well as its first female governor Sarah Palin was announced as McCain's running mate[71] at a rally in Dayton, Ohio. She is the first female vice presidential pick on a major party ticket since Geraldine Ferraro in 1984, and the first in the history of the Republican Party.[72] Palin was nominated by acclamation at the convention.
Republican National Convention presidential vote, 2008[73]
Candidate Votes Percentage
John McCain 2,343 98.45%
Ron Paul 15 0.63%
Mitt Romney 2 0.08%
Delegates who did not vote 20 0.84%
Totals 2,380 100.00%

Democratic Party

Nominees for the Democratic Party:

Democratic National Convention presidential vote, 2008[73]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Barack Obama 1,549.5 35.07%
Hillary Clinton 341.5 7.73%
Abstentions 1.0 0.02%
Delegates who did not vote[A] 2,527.0 57.18%
Totals 4,418.0 100.00%
A Part way through the roll call, Senator Clinton of New York moved to suspend the rules of the roll call and nominate Obama by acclamation. This was done and the voting was never officially completed.[73] Earlier the same day, Clinton had released her delegates, allowing them to vote for Obama.[74]

Obama is also the nominee of the United Citizens Party in South Carolina.[75]

On August 23, Senator Joe Biden of Delaware was announced as Obama's running mate via a text message to supporters. This was the first time in a presidential campaign where a text message was used for such an announcement. Biden was nominated by acclamation at the convention.

Third party and independent candidates

The following candidates have achieved sufficient ballot access to win the presidency. Due to the effect of the Electoral College on United States presidential elections, candidates must appear on enough ballots to get at least 270 electoral votes in order to win.

Ralph Nader

Ralph Nader, consumer advocate, of Connecticut. The two time (1996, 2000) presidential nominee of the Green Party and 2004 independent presidential candidate announced his candidacy for another independent bid in February 2008. He is also on the ballot in some states as the nominee of the Peace and Freedom Party or the newly formed Independent Party.[76]

Libertarian Party

Nominees for the Libertarian Party:

Bob Barr, former Republican Congressman from Georgia was chosen as the Libertarian Party's nominee for President, at the Libertarian Party National Convention in Denver, Colorado on May 25, 2008.

2008 Libertarian Party National Convention total vote count
Candidate 1st round (pct) 2nd round (pct) 3rd round (pct) 4th round (pct) 5th round (pct) 6th round (pct)
Bob Barr 153 (24.8%) 188 (29.9%) 186 (29.7%) 202 (32.1%) 223 (36.1%) 324 (54.0%)
Mary Ruwart 152 (24.6%) 162 (25.8%) 186 (29.7%) 202 (32.1%) 229 (37.1%) 276 (46.0%)
Wayne Allyn Root 123 (19.9%) 138 (21.9%) 146 (23.3%) 149 (23.7%) 165 (26.7%)
Mike Gravel 71 (11.5%) 73 (11.6%) 78 (12.4%) 76 (12.1%)
George Phillies 49 (7.9%) 36 (5.7%) 31 (4.9%)
Steve Kubby 41 (6.6%) 32 (5.1%)
Mike Jingozian 23 (3.7%)
Christine Smith 6 (1.0%)
This box: view  talk  
Color key: 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 6th place 7th place (tied)

Constitution Party

Nominee for the Constitution Party:

Dr. Chuck Baldwin of Florida, pastor, political activist and 2004 Constitution Party vice presidential nominee, received the presidential nomination of the Constitution Party at its national convention in Kansas City, Missouri on April 26, 2008.

  • Darrell Castle of Tennessee, activist, attorney, and former Marine Corps Lieutenant is the vice-presidential nominee.
Constitution Party National Convention presidential vote, 2008[73]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Chuck Baldwin 383.8 74.38%
Alan Keyes 125.7 24.36%
Max Riekse 4.5 0.87%
Daniel Imperato 1.0 0.19%
Susan Ducey 1.0 0.19%
Totals 516.0 100.00%

Green Party

Nominee for the Green Party:

Cynthia McKinney, former Democratic Congresswoman from Georgia, was chosen as the Green Party's nominee for President at that party's National Convention in Chicago on July 12, 2008. She also received the endorsement of the Workers World Party in July.[77]

2008 Green Party National Convention Floor Vote
Candidate Presidential Primaries
Convention Delegate Vote Count
Cynthia McKinney 313
Ralph Nader 86½
Kat Swift 38½
Kent Mesplay 35
Jesse Johnson 32½
Elaine Brown 9
Uncommitted
Jared Ball 8
Howie Hawkins 8
Color key: 1st place 2nd place Candidate has
withdrawn
3rd place 4th place 5th place

The following candidates appear on fewer state ballots than needed to qualify for the minimum 270 electoral votes required to win the electoral college. These candidates can only theoretically be elected in the unlikely event of a successful write-in campaign, or in the event that no candidate receives at least 270 electoral votes. In the latter scenario, the election of the President would be determined by the House of Representatives.

America's Independent Party

Nominee for the America's Independent Party:

Alan Keyes is a former U.S. ambassador from Maryland. After unsuccessful attempts to secure the 2008 nominations of the Republican and Constitution parties, Keyes announced his intention to run as the nominee of the newly formed America's Independent Party, and as an independent in states where the party does not have ballot status.

Boston Tea Party

Charles Jay of Florida, 2004 Presidential nominee of the Personal Choice Party, was selected as the nominee for President of the United States at the online Convention of the Boston Tea Party June 15-16, 2008.

  • Thomas L. Knapp of Missouri, blogger and editor of the online magazine Rational Review, is the vice-presidential nominee.

Prohibition Party

Gene Amondson of Washington, minister and temperance movement activist, received the Prohibition Party's presidential nomination at its national convention on September 13, 2007.

Reform Party

Ted Weill of Mississippi was selected as the presidential nominee of the Reform Party at its National convention on July 20, 2008 in Dallas, Texas.

Party for Socialism and Liberation

Nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation:

Gloria La Riva of California, was announced as the presidential nominee of the Party for Socialism and Liberation in January 2008.

Socialist Party USA

Nominees for the Socialist Party USA:

Brian Moore of Florida received the Socialist Party USA's presidential nomination at its national convention, October 19-21, 2007 in St. Louis, Missouri. He is also the nominee of Liberty Union Party of Vermont.

Socialist Workers Party

Róger Calero of New York, journalist, was announced as the presidential nominee of the Socialist Workers Party in January 2008. This is Calero's second run on the party's ballot; however, because he was born in Nicaragua, if he were to win, Calero would nonetheless be ineligible for the Presidency.

Swing states

Further information: Swing state
Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008.  Polling information on map is not current.      >10% Obama lead      4%–10% Obama lead      1%–4% Obama lead      Tie      1%–4% McCain lead      4%–10% McCain lead      >10% McCain lead
Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008. Polling information on map is not current.[78]      >10% Obama lead      4%–10% Obama lead      1%–4% Obama lead      Tie      1%–4% McCain lead      4%–10% McCain lead      >10% McCain lead

Political experts and polling have identified certain swing states where close votes might prove crucial to the outcome of the election.[79] The states currently most likely to alter the outcome of a close election are located in and around the southern Mountain States, the Rust Belt and Florida.[80]

Swing states include (electoral college votes in parentheses):

  • Colorado (9) The Centennial State held its second Democratic National Convention in Denver after 100 years. The election of Ken Salazar, a Hispanic-American to the U.S. Senate; Bill Ritter to the Governorship in 2006 and a U.S. House seat pick-up in 2006 made it a prized apple for the Democrats, prompting DNC Chairman Howard Dean to claim the West holds the key to victory in 2008, which effectively led to Denver being the location of the Convention. A strong Hispanic-American concentration and the attention brought to bear on such issues as immigration reform, labor union support and minimum wage have made this a possible Democratic state. Polls show Obama with a modest lead.[81]
  • Florida (27) The key player in 2000, whose votes went narrowly to George W. Bush, making him the winner. Expertswho? agree the winner of Florida will have a significant advantage towards advancing to the White House. Florida has trended toward the Republican Party since 2000. For Democrats, the vote of the elderly is seen as a potential boon, due to the party's traditional stance on Medicare and Social Security - two key components of winning the elderly vote - while Republicans have an advantage with their stance on tax cuts and values issues. For Republicans, the business attention of tax cuts and Cuban American attention has made it a strong contender. Polls show Obama with a slight lead in Florida.[82]
  • Indiana (11) The state has not voted for a Democratic Presidential Nominee since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.[83] A poll by The Indianapolis Star showed the